Tropical Storm KATIA Advisory Thu Sep 07

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE KATIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132017
0300 UTC THU SEP 07 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GFMX 250N 960W 34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

LA PESCA MX    34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   5(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)

TAMPICO MX     34  1   3( 4)   8(12)  22(34)   8(42)   X(42)   X(42)
TAMPICO MX     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
TAMPICO MX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

TUXPAN MX      34  1   4( 5)  28(33)  37(70)  12(82)   X(82)   X(82)
TUXPAN MX      50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)  26(32)  15(47)   X(47)   X(47)
TUXPAN MX      64  X   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)  10(24)   X(24)   X(24)

VERACRUZ MX    34  1   4( 5)  15(20)  24(44)   8(52)   X(52)   X(52)
VERACRUZ MX    50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)  10(14)   6(20)   X(20)   X(20)
VERACRUZ MX    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

FRONTERA MX    34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

MERIDA MX      34  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
FORECASTER BLAKE