Tropical Storm OTIS Advisory Thu Sep 14

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152017
0300 UTC THU SEP 14 2017

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 120W       34  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)

15N 125W       34  X   3( 3)  12(15)  19(34)  10(44)   9(53)   2(55)
15N 125W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)   4(15)   1(16)
15N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   6( 9)   3(12)

15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   2( 9)

20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
FORECASTER ZELINSKY