Tropical Storm OTTO Advisory Wed Nov 23

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE OTTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162016
0900 UTC WED NOV 23 2016

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OTTO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS
...75 MPH...120 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

PUERTO CABEZAS 34  1   3( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)

BLUEFIELDS     34  1  13(14)  42(56)   5(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
BLUEFIELDS     50  X   1( 1)  17(18)   3(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
BLUEFIELDS     64  X   X( X)   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

SAN ANDRES     34  5  18(23)   6(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
SAN ANDRES     50  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

LIMON          34  1  16(17)  15(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
LIMON          50  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
LIMON          64  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

COLON          34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
FORECASTER BRENNAN